🟣 Match Analysis: HBH-W vs ADS-W
📅 18 Nov | 01:40 PM IST
🏟️ Bellerive Oval, Hobart
🏟️ Pitch & Ground Report — Bellerive Oval (Hobart)
Pitch Behaviour
- Traditionally balanced, but slightly favours pacers early.
- New ball movement for first 3–4 overs each innings.
- Once set, batters can score freely — short square boundaries.
- Spinners get very little turn, but tight line = wicket because batters try to hit big.
Ideal Score
- 1st innings: 135–155
- Chasing is easier here — due to dew + short boundaries.
Trading Tip
- If batting team loses an early wicket → back later, as recovery is common in Hobart.
🟣 Team Breakdown
Hobart Hurricanes Women (HBH-W)
Strengths
- Strong middle-order rebuilders.
- Pacers good at home conditions.
Weakness
- Weak opening partnership consistency.
- Collapse potential if early pressure.
Key Players (Trading View)
- Lizelle Lee: Explosive but either quick 30 or early out. Perfect for wicket-based entry.
- Heather Graham: All-rounder, wicket-taker in Hobart.
- Molly Strano: Control spinner; good wicket in middle overs.
Wicket Probability
- High chance of 1 wicket inside first 2–3 overs (based on past pattern).
Adelaide Strikers Women (ADS-W)
Strengths
- Best opening pair in WBBL.
- Strong pace attack for powerplay.
Weakness
- Lower middle order inconsistent.
- If early wickets fall, run rate crashes.
Key Players
- Katie Mack: Very solid — less risky wicket.
- Tahlia McGrath: Game-changing all-rounder — can accelerate quickly.
- Megan Schutt: Early swing expert; high wicket probability.
Wicket Probability
- Early wicket chances low (0–3 overs), rise after 5th over.
🔥 Match Prediction (Cricketing Point of View)
ADS-W slightly stronger due to balanced squad and stronger batting.
But home advantage always gives HBH-W a fighting chance at Hobart.
Match Lean: 55% ADS-W, 45% HBH-W
BUT AS HOBART IS UNBEATEN TEAM IN WBBL 2025 SO MY PREDICTION HOBART IS HOBART HURRICANE TO WIN. BE WITH HOBART IT WILL GIVE YOU OPPORTUNITY TO BOOK YOUR PROFIT
💹 Sports Trading Analysis (Your Style)
1️⃣ Powerplay Trading
- HBH-W batting → entry for wicket highly profitable.
✔️ Lay HBH-W early / Back fall of wicket. - ADS-W batting → safer to wait; entry after 2 overs as per player pattern.
2️⃣ Extra-Defensive Batsman Strategy (#EDB)
Watch out for:
- A batter scoring <5 runs in 10–15 balls
➡️ Heavy wicket probability
➡️ Good moment to enter LAY on batting team.
Possible candidates:
- HBH-W: Players like Naomi Stalenberg sometimes get stuck.
- ADS-W: Katie Mack sometimes slows down early.
3️⃣ Middle Overs Strategy
- Bellerive Oval = great for back-to-lay on set batters.
- If run rate goes below 6–6.5 → wicket pressure builds.
➡️ Back wicket around 8th–12th over when set batter tries big shots.
4️⃣ Death Overs Trading
- Dew helps chasing team; odds crash quickly.
- If ADS-W is chasing and needs <45 in last 5 → Back ADS-W (safe).
🏅 Overall Trading Plan
- Early overs — target HBH-W wicket.
- Middle overs — focus on #EDB slow batters.
- If ADS-W chasing — they handle pressure better → good for back positions.
- Total range — 135–155 likely → use for over/under markets.