🏆 TRI-SERIES 2025 – COMPLETE ANALYSIS
📍 Venue: Rawalpindi Cricket Stadium (ALL MATCHES)
📅 18–29 November
Teams: Pakistan 🇵🇰 | Sri Lanka 🇱🇰 | Zimbabwe 🇿🇼
🇵🇰 PAKISTAN SQUAD
Sahibzada Farhan
Saim Ayub
Babar Azam
Fakhar Zaman
Usman Khan (wk)
Salman Ali Agha
Mohammad Nawaz
Faheem Ashraf
Shaheen Afridi
Naseem Shah
Abrar Ahmed
Mohammad Wasim Jr
Salman Mirza
Usman Tariq
Abdul Samad
🔎 Pakistan Key Notes
- Babar + Saim + Fakhar = Strong top order
- Shaheen + Naseem = deadly new ball in Rawalpindi
- Abrar Ahmed added as mystery spin option
🇱🇰 SRI LANKA SQUAD (UPDATED – OFFICIAL ICC NEWS)
OUT due to illness
- Charith Asalanka (captain)
- Asitha Fernando
IN – New Captain
- Dasun Shanaka (captain)
Additional new player
- Pavan Rathnayake (uncapped T20)
Likely Playing XI without Asalanka & Asitha
Pathum Nissanka
Kamil Mishara
Kusal Mendis (wk)
Sadeera Samarawickrama
Janith Liyanage
Kamindu Mendis
Dasun Shanaka (c)
Wanindu Hasaranga
Dushmantha Chameera
Maheesh Theekshana
Matheesha Pathirana / Kasun Rajitha
🔎 Sri Lanka Key Notes
- Middle-order weak without Asalanka
- Spin still strong but dew reduces threat
- New inexperienced batters added
- SL lost 0–3 to PAK just now → mentally under pressure
🇿🇼 ZIMBABWE SQUAD
Brian Bennett
Dion Myers
Brendan Taylor (wk)
Sikandar Raza (c)
Ryan Burl
Tashinga Musekiwa
Clive Madande
Brad Evans
Tinotenda Maposa
Wellington Masakadza
Richard Ngarava
Graeme Cremer
Tony Munyonga
Tadiwanashe Marumani
Newman Nyamhuri
🔎 Zimbabwe Key Notes
- Raza is backbone
- Brendan Taylor comeback adds stability
- Bowling lacks death-over specialists
- High collapse probability under pace
2️⃣ Recent Form Impact (Very Important)
🇵🇰 Pakistan
- Just beat Sri Lanka 3–0 in ODIs
- Top order in peak form
- Pacers dominating
Psychological advantage: Very High
🇱🇰 Sri Lanka
- 0–3 loss to Pakistan
- Captain changed abruptly
- Illness in squad
- New players → unstable combination
Psychological pressure: Very High
🇿🇼 Zimbabwe
- In rebuilding phase
- Young squad + few seniors
- Unpredictable
- Upset potential = medium but mostly struggle
3️⃣ 🏟️ Rawalpindi Pitch Analysis
✔️ Hard flat wicket
✔️ Fast outfield
✔️ Huge batting advantage
✔️ Seamers get movement first 2–3 overs
✔️ Dew in 2nd innings → very hard to defend
Expected Scores
- 1st Innings: 165–190
- Powerplay: 40–55 runs
- Death overs: 35–45 runs
Wicket Patterns
- Early: 1 wicket in first 3 overs likely
- Middle: Stable partnerships
- Death: Massive hitting
4️⃣ TEAM MATCHUP ANALYSIS
🇵🇰 PAKISTAN vs 🇿🇼 ZIMBABWE
➡️ Biggest mismatch of the series
Why?
- Shaheen + Naseem vs weak ZIM top-order
- Pakistan bat deep
- Raza alone can’t carry ZIM every match
Winner Probability:
Pakistan 85% – Zimbabwe 15%
Trading Pattern:
- Early wicket expected (ZIM batting)
- Pakistan chase is stable
- Back Pakistan after 1 wicket fall
🇱🇰 SRI LANKA vs 🇿🇼 ZIMBABWE
➡️ Closer, but SL still stronger
Key Factors:
- Sri Lanka’s new batting lineup may struggle early
- Zimbabwe cannot handle Hasaranga + Theekshana
- Raza vs SL spin battle
Winner Probability
Sri Lanka 65% – Zimbabwe 35%
Trading Pattern:
- Sri Lanka slow start → odds rise → good back point
- Zimbabwe mid-overs collapse probability high
🇵🇰 PAKISTAN vs 🇱🇰 SRI LANKA
➡️ The real competitive matchup
Why Pakistan stronger:
- Beat SL 3–0 recently
- Pakistan top order in top form
- SL missing Asalanka (big loss)
- Dew helps Pakistan chase
- SL spin neutralized in Rawalpindi
Winner Probability:
Pakistan 70% – Sri Lanka 30%
Trading Pattern:
- Back Pakistan if they bat second
- Early wicket on SL batting likely
- Hasaranga can bring SL back in middle overs → small lay PAK possible
5️⃣ Series Prediction (FINAL)
Most Likely Standings
1️⃣ Pakistan – High chance of reaching final
2️⃣ Sri Lanka – Will beat Zimbabwe
3️⃣ Zimbabwe – Might win 1 match maximum
Most Likely FINAL:
🇵🇰 Pakistan vs 🇱🇰 Sri Lanka
Winner: Pakistan (based on momentum + conditions)
6️⃣ Sports Trading Strategy – SERIES PLAN
✔️ Back Wicket Strategy
- ZIM batting → Very high early wicket rate
- SL batting → Early wobble without Asalanka
✔️ Back Chasing Team
- Sri Lanka: Pathum Nissanka (often slow)
- Zimbabwe: Tony Munyonga
- Pakistan: Usman Khan sometimes takes time early
✔️ Middle Overs Stability
Back batting team if 1 down after 8 overs.
✔️ Death Overs Boom
- Pakistan & SL both strong death hitters
- Back runs 16–20 overs
7️⃣ Short Summary for Telegram Post
💥 PAK Tri-Series 2025 Analysis
📍Rawalpindi = High scoring pitch
💧Dew helps chasing
⚡ Early wicket movement for pacers
🇵🇰 Pakistan → Strongest team (Babar, Saim, Shaheen in form)
🇱🇰 Sri Lanka → New captain (Shanaka), Asalanka OUT, spin neutralized
🇿🇼 Zimbabwe → Raza alone cannot carry the team
🔥 Final Prediction: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka
🏆 Winner: Pakistan (70% edge)