⭐ WBBL Match Analysis: Melbourne Stars Women vs Melbourne Renegades Women | 13th Match
Match Time: Today, 08:10 AM IST
Venue: Junction Oval, Melbourne
Tournament: Women’s Big Bash League (WBBL)
The Melbourne Stars and Melbourne Renegades are set to clash in the first Melbourne Derby of WBBL 2025. Both teams are coming off contrasting results, and this match holds crucial importance for their standings. Here is a complete, professional match analysis with trading insights by APSports.
1️⃣ Team Form & Recent Performance
Melbourne Stars Women (MLS-W)
The Stars enter this game after a strong win against Perth Scorchers.
✔ Last Match Performance:
- Defeated Perth Scorchers by 16 runs (DLS)
- Posted 173/4 in 20 overs
- Meg Lanning – 90 off 55*
- Amy Jones – 30 off 32
- Annabel Sutherland – 17 off 11
- With the ball, Stars dismantled Scorchers:
- Sophie Day – 3 wickets in 1 over
- Kim Garth – 2 wickets
- Marizanne Kapp – 1 wicket
- Maisy Gibson – 1 wicket
🟩 Team Confidence:
Stars look balanced with:
- A strong top-order
- Effective spin attack
- Momentum on their side
They come in with 1 win, 1 loss, 1 washout.
Melbourne Renegades Women (MLR-W)
Renegades are in good form with 2 wins from 3 matches.
✔ Last Match Performance:
- Beat Sydney Thunder comfortably
- Courtney Webb scored 46 off 39
- Georgia Wareham contributed 30 off 23
- Tess Flintoff and Wareham impressed with the ball
🟥 Renegades Strengths:
- Middle order stability: Webb, Wareham
- Bowling depth: Flintoff, Wareham, Coyte
- Leadership: Sophie Molineux returns from injury
They sit 3rd on the table and have momentum.
2️⃣ Points Table Position
| Team | P | W | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renegades | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| Stars | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
⭐ Advantage:
Slight edge → Melbourne Renegades
(but Stars are rising fast)
3️⃣ Head-to-Head (Last 10 matches)
MLS-W 5 – 5 MLR-W
Both teams are evenly matched historically.
4️⃣ Venue & Pitch Report — Junction Oval
- Batting-friendly wicket
- Dry surface helps spinners
- Average first-innings score: 145–160
- Recent matches show successful chases:
- MLR-W successfully chased 151
- MLR-W successfully chased 137
- MLR-W defended 146
Good for:
- Powerplay attacking batting
- Spin bowlers in middle overs
- Wicket Not trading (WN) on aggressive players
5️⃣ Probable XIs
⭐ Melbourne Stars Women (MLS-W)
Meg Lanning
Annabel Sutherland (c)
Amy Jones (wk)
Dani Gibson
Kim Garth
Maisy Gibson
Ella Hayward
Georgia Prestwidge
Rhys McKenna
Sophie Day
Sasha Moloney
Marizanne Kapp
❤️ Melbourne Renegades Women (MLR-W)
Sophie Molineux (c)
Courtney Webb
Alice Capsey
Sarah Coyte
Georgia Wareham
Emma de Broughe
Deandra Dottin
Nicole Faltum (wk)
Tess Flintoff
Milly Illingworth
Davina Perrin
Naomi Stalenberg
6️⃣ Matchups & Key Players
⭐ Stars Key Players
- Meg Lanning
- Annabel Sutherland
- Amy Jones
- Sophie Day
- Kapp & Garth (new-ball threat)
❤️ Renegades Key Players
- Courtney Webb
- Georgia Wareham
- Sophie Molineux
- Tess Flintoff
- Alice Capsey
7️⃣ APSports Trading Analysis
📌 A) Wicket Not (Individual)
Best WN Targets:
- Meg Lanning (aggressive starter)
- Alice Capsey
- Annabel Sutherland
- Deandra Dottin
Women’s cricket = high accuracy in WN due to early cautious batting + predictable patterns.
📌 B) Team Wicket Not
If Stars Bat First:
Target early wickets:
- Renegades bowl well in PP
- Stars start fast → risk of early wickets
WN levels: 25 / 55 / 85.
If Renegades Bat First:
More stable → better avoid early TWN
Instead use individual WN (Capsey, Dottin, Stalenberg).
📌 C) Sab Yes (16–20 Overs)
- Stars finish strong (Lanning + Sutherland) → Sab Yes good
- Renegades sometimes collapse late → avoid if chasing
📌 D) Match Winner Trading Plan
Pre-match safe entry:
- Wait for 40p -55p rate to enter
- Back team with momentum swing:
- If Stars start well → lay Stars 30-40p , book profit at appropriate odds
- u can double trade lay laying renegade 45-65p
- If star doesn’t come low and directly u got ,45-70p renegade, lay renegade u can get good trade even then
- there should be 2 to 3 good swing opportunities
- First big boundary
- Momentum shift overs (7–10)
8️⃣ Final Prediction
⭐ Match Winner: Melbourne Renegades Women (Slight Edge)
Based on:
- Better recent form
- Stronger middle order
- Impact players returning
But ⭐ Stars can win if Lanning fires again.
Expect a competitive and high-scoring Melbourne Derby.